Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52293
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dc.creatorJavier Mirandapt_BR
dc.creatorJan Börnerpt_BR
dc.creatorMatthias Kalkuhlpt_BR
dc.creatorBritaldo Silveira Soares Filhopt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-19T20:56:06Z-
dc.date.available2023-04-19T20:56:06Z-
dc.date.issued2019-04-02-
dc.citation.volume14pt_BR
dc.citation.issue4pt_BR
dc.citation.spage045006pt_BR
dc.citation.epage11pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab003apt_BR
dc.identifier.issn1748-9326pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1843/52293-
dc.description.resumoThe Brazilian Amazon and Cerrado biomes have been subject to strong pressure from agricultural expansion over the past two decades. A common claim is that the associated tree cover loss was partly driven by speculative land acquisition. In this paper, we analyze the effects of information on planned road infrastructure improvements and changes in conservation policy implementation on expectations of forest conversion. We use a unique land price dataset covering the period from 2001–2012. Based on land rent and hedonic valuation theory, we argue that forestland prices convey information on expected future land use. We decompose forestland prices into a conventional forestland rent and a speculative part related to forestland conversion and alternative land use rents. Using a fixed-effect panel, we then assess whether, where, and to what extent changes in conservation policy affect forestland prices over time. Our results confirm that forestland prices contain expectations about converting forestland to agricultural or pasture land. We also find indications that the Brazilian land market conveys information about potential conservation policy leakage and explore this conjecture descriptively using dynamic deforestation hotspot maps.pt_BR
dc.format.mimetypepdfpt_BR
dc.languageengpt_BR
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Geraispt_BR
dc.publisher.countryBrasilpt_BR
dc.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIApt_BR
dc.publisher.initialsUFMGpt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofEnviromental Research Letterspt_BR
dc.rightsAcesso Abertopt_BR
dc.subjectLand pricespt_BR
dc.subjectDeforestationpt_BR
dc.subjectSpeculationpt_BR
dc.subjectConservation policypt_BR
dc.subjectLeakagept_BR
dc.subject.otherEspeculaçãopt_BR
dc.subject.otherDesigualdade socialpt_BR
dc.subject.otherDesmatamentopt_BR
dc.subject.otherBiodiversidade - Conservaçãopt_BR
dc.titleLand speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazilpt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de Periódicopt_BR
dc.url.externahttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab003apt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9958-8454pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3034-5360pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4797-6628pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946Xpt_BR
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