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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52341
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dc.creatorP. M. Brandopt_BR
dc.creatorM. T. Coept_BR
dc.creatorBritaldo Silveira Soares Filhopt_BR
dc.creatorL. Rodriguespt_BR
dc.creatorA. Assunçãopt_BR
dc.creatorD. Mortonpt_BR
dc.creatorD. Tuchschneiderpt_BR
dc.creatorE. C. M. Fernandespt_BR
dc.creatorM. N. Macedopt_BR
dc.creatorU. Oliveirapt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-20T21:16:55Z-
dc.date.available2023-04-20T21:16:55Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.citation.volume6pt_BR
dc.citation.issue2pt_BR
dc.citation.spageeaay1632pt_BR
dc.citation.epage9pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632pt_BR
dc.identifier.issn2375-2548pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1843/52341-
dc.description.resumoWildfires, exacerbated by extreme weather events and land use, threaten to change the Amazon from a net carbon sink to a net carbon source. Here, we develop and apply a coupled ecosystem-fire model to quantify how greenhouse gas–driven drying and warming would affect wildfires and associated CO2 emissions in the southern Brazilian Amazon. Regional climate projections suggest that Amazon fire regimes will intensify under both low- and high-emission scenarios. Our results indicate that projected climatic changes will double the area burned by wildfires, affecting up to 16% of the region’s forests by 2050. Although these fires could emit as much as 17.0 Pg of CO2 equivalent to the atmosphere, avoiding new deforestation could cut total net fire emissions in half and help prevent fires from escaping into protected areas and indigenous lands. Aggressive efforts to eliminate ignition sources and suppress wildfires will be critical to conserve southern Amazon forests.pt_BR
dc.format.mimetypepdfpt_BR
dc.languageengpt_BR
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Geraispt_BR
dc.publisher.countryBrasilpt_BR
dc.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIApt_BR
dc.publisher.initialsUFMGpt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofScience Advancespt_BR
dc.rightsAcesso Abertopt_BR
dc.subjectWildfirespt_BR
dc.subjectFire spread modelpt_BR
dc.subjectAmazonpt_BR
dc.subjectAmazon firept_BR
dc.subject.otherQueimadapt_BR
dc.subject.otherAmazôniapt_BR
dc.subject.otherQueimada - Aspectos econômicos - Amazôniapt_BR
dc.titleThe gathering firestorm in southern Amazoniapt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de Periódicopt_BR
dc.url.externahttps://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8952-7025pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7470-0697pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946Xpt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7793-3218pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-2226-1124pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9190-1132pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1117-9849pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8102-5901pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4877-5414pt_BR
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