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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/54028
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dc.creatorGlauco Umbelinopt_BR
dc.creatorDiego Rodrigues Macedopt_BR
dc.creatorAlisson Barbieript_BR
dc.creatorGilvan Ramalho Guedespt_BR
dc.creatorAlfredo Costapt_BR
dc.creatorUnited Nationspt_BR
dc.creatorMinistério do Meio Ambientept_BR
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-26T20:17:33Z-
dc.date.available2023-05-26T20:17:33Z-
dc.date.issued2017-
dc.citation.issueXXVIII International Population Conferencept_BR
dc.citation.spage1pt_BR
dc.citation.epage5pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1843/54028-
dc.description.resumoSimulation models coupled with Geographic Information Systems are now applied to several areas and have great potential for demographic studies. Demographic projections can tell us “how much we will be”, but when coupled with GIS tools these projections can add the ability to show “where we will be”. This paper simulates the growth of urban areas, the resident population, and their households for the Brazilian Metropolitan Regions of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte, Brasilia, and Belém for 2020 and 2030. Based on demographic data measured between 2000 and 2010, and the mapping of urban areas through satellite images between 2000 and 2016, we used cellular automata models coupled with GIS to simulate future scenarios of population and urban growth. Our results suggest a decrease in the growth rate of urban areas despite the population and household growth in the coming decades. These trends are indicative of increasing intra-urban density, possibly reflected in the increase in building verticalization. Population is projected to grow at a slower pace than households, reflecting a decrease in the number of inhabitants per household in the study areas.pt_BR
dc.languageporpt_BR
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Geraispt_BR
dc.publisher.countryBrasilpt_BR
dc.publisher.departmentFCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE DEMOGRAFIApt_BR
dc.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE GEOGRAFIApt_BR
dc.publisher.initialsUFMGpt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofInternational Population Conferencept_BR
dc.rightsAcesso Abertopt_BR
dc.subjectUrban sprawlpt_BR
dc.subjectGeotechnologypt_BR
dc.subjectCellular automatapt_BR
dc.subjectSimulation modelspt_BR
dc.subjectMetropolitan areas in Brazilpt_BR
dc.subject.otherGeografiapt_BR
dc.subject.otherGeociênciaspt_BR
dc.titleSpatially explicit demographic projections for brazilian metropolitan areas by 2020 and 2030pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de Eventopt_BR
dc.url.externahttps://zenodo.org/record/2576592pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1178-4969pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1178-4969pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-1089pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8231-238Xpt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1735-6711pt_BR
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