Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/57592
Type: Artigo de Periódico
Title: Pitfalls in estimating the X-factor: the case of energy transmission regulation in Brazil
Authors: Mohsen Afsharian
Heinz Ahn
Ana Lopes
Bruno Vilela
Abstract: In Brazil, which has one of the biggest energy systems in the world, the National Electricity Regulatory Agency (Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica – ANEEL) regulates the generation, transmission, distribution and commercialization of electricity. As a key step in running the incentive regulation regime, the regulator applies a DEA-based Malmquist index for estimating the X-factor, which reflects productivity gains that can be expected across all companies involved in the industry. This paper investigates the way the X-factor was estimated in 2015 by ANEEL in the transmission sector concerning the review period 2009–2014. The regulator applies a modified version of the Malmquist index developed by Ray and Desli [1] and also adapts the bootstrapping method of Simar and Wilson [2] to generate confidence intervals for an estimate of the X-factor. Analyzing ANEEL's approach, we have discovered a number of serious analytical and computational shortcomings, which we demonstrate in the paper. On this basis, we address the effect of the estimated X-factor on social welfare, having the final customers to pay a higher price for electricity than they were supposed to.
Subject: Energia
Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (Brasil)
language: por
metadata.dc.publisher.country: Brasil
Publisher: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
Publisher Initials: UFMG
metadata.dc.publisher.department: FCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE CIÊNCIAS ADMINISTRATIVAS
Rights: Acesso Restrito
metadata.dc.identifier.doi: doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2018.04.004
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/57592
Issue Date: 2018
metadata.dc.url.externa: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038012117302446
metadata.dc.relation.ispartof: Socio-Economic Planning Sciences
Appears in Collections:Artigo de Periódico

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