Análise de decisões na incerteza e gestão de fatores de risco que influenciam o sucesso de projetos de edifícios aplicando o Project Definition Rating Index

Abstract

The competitive context in which the companies of the real estate are inserted requires a constant search for better results in terms of cost, time and return on investment. In this context, manage the risks to which companies are exposed has become an increasingly pressing issue. Accordingly, the objective of this study is to propose a model to evaluate the level of exposure to projects adapted to the reality of companies that can be used to identify potential for improvement, as well as documenting current intentions and future planning to reduce risks and uncertainties . Initially intend to specifically promote the use of the PDRI (Project Definition Rating Index), originally proposed by the Construction Industry Institute. So that the maturity of the project is used as a measure of the level of risk exposure. Then we propose a hierarchy of priorities linked to the effort to design the project. Finally the companies promote an analysis of risk factors internal and external uncertainties. Thus the riskmanagement model proposed here, through these three stages, seeks to provide useful information for decision-making and also provide transparency about the risks incurred when trying to map the aspects that should be checked to elevate performance with less risks and more efficiently.