Modelagem de cenários para o mapeamento de potencial do turismo sustentável em Brumadinho, Minas Gerais

Abstract

The paper reports the results of a case study that aimed to simulate scenarios of land use cover change (LUCC) in order to contribute to the development of sustainable tourism in Brumadinho, a municipality of Minas Gerais, Brazil. The work was developed in two stages: (i) mapping in regions of tourist attraction hotspots; (ii) creation of two land use change scenarios for the year 2030. In the mapping in hotspot regions, it was possible to identify areas with greater potential for the implementation of Sustainable Tourism. Scenarios 1 and 2 were carried out through the simulation of LUCC for 2030, being possible through the collection of information from workshops with the local community, which helped focus on areas that can be destined for sustainable development for the municipality. The method is relevant since there are few publications on LUCC related to the simulation of future scenarios in the area of tourism, besides the social bias of the research that seeks to bring the vision of the residents as one of the variables of the modeling. It is believed that the proposed approach is capable of enhancing the development of Sustainable Tourism, which can contribute to territorial management and governance.