The gathering firestorm in southern Amazonia

Página do item simplificado
dc.creatorP. M. Brando
dc.creatorM. T. Coe
dc.creatorBritaldo Silveira Soares Filho
dc.creatorL. Rodrigues
dc.creatorA. Assunção
dc.creatorD. Morton
dc.creatorD. Tuchschneider
dc.creatorE. C. M. Fernandes
dc.creatorM. N. Macedo
dc.creatorU. Oliveira
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-20T21:16:55Z
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-08T23:59:58Z
dc.date.available2023-04-20T21:16:55Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.format.mimetypepdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632
dc.identifier.issn2375-2548
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1843/52341
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.relation.ispartofScience Advances
dc.rightsAcesso Aberto
dc.subjectQueimada
dc.subjectAmazônia
dc.subjectQueimada - Aspectos econômicos - Amazônia
dc.subject.otherWildfires
dc.subject.otherFire spread model
dc.subject.otherAmazon
dc.subject.otherAmazon fire
dc.titleThe gathering firestorm in southern Amazonia
dc.typeArtigo de periódico
local.citation.epage9
local.citation.issue2
local.citation.spageeaay1632
local.citation.volume6
local.description.resumoWildfires, exacerbated by extreme weather events and land use, threaten to change the Amazon from a net carbon sink to a net carbon source. Here, we develop and apply a coupled ecosystem-fire model to quantify how greenhouse gas–driven drying and warming would affect wildfires and associated CO2 emissions in the southern Brazilian Amazon. Regional climate projections suggest that Amazon fire regimes will intensify under both low- and high-emission scenarios. Our results indicate that projected climatic changes will double the area burned by wildfires, affecting up to 16% of the region’s forests by 2050. Although these fires could emit as much as 17.0 Pg of CO2 equivalent to the atmosphere, avoiding new deforestation could cut total net fire emissions in half and help prevent fires from escaping into protected areas and indigenous lands. Aggressive efforts to eliminate ignition sources and suppress wildfires will be critical to conserve southern Amazon forests.
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8952-7025
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7470-0697
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7793-3218
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-2226-1124
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9190-1132
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1117-9849
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8102-5901
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4877-5414
local.publisher.countryBrasil
local.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIA
local.publisher.initialsUFMG
local.url.externahttps://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632

Arquivos

Pacote original

Agora exibindo 1 - 1 de 1
Imagem de Miniatura
Nome:
thegatheringfirestorm.pdf
Tamanho:
23.13 MB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Baixar

Licença do pacote

Agora exibindo 1 - 1 de 1
Imagem de Miniatura
Nome:
License.txt
Tamanho:
1.99 KB
Formato:
Plain Text
Descrição:
Baixar

Coleções

Artigo de Periódico

Logo UFMG