Violência Interpressoal: análise da reincidência criminal e da revitimização nos municípios de Belo Horizonte e Sete Lagoas de 2011 a 2016

Abstract

This research aimed to identify quantitatively and qualitatively the criminal recidivism and revictimization in interpersonal violence in the municipalities of Belo Horizonte and Sete Lagoas in the period from 2011 to 2016. The database of the Social Security Events Registry (REDS) of the Integrated System of Social Security of the State of Minas Gerais containing data on police occurrences for the years 2011 to 2016. A total of 811,873 occurrences of interpersonal violence in Belo Horizonte identified 1,167,330 people, 889,468 as victims and 277,862 of perpetrators. 757,107 distinct people and 410,223 repetitions, implying a recidivism rate of 35.14%. Of the authors 179,100 are distinct, with criminal recidivism 35.54%; of the victims 641,761 are distinct being the revitimization of 27.85%. In Sete Lagoas in 68,970 occurrences were identified 112,560 people, 74,814 victims and 37,746 authors. Out of these 66,838 people, there were 45,722 repetitions, implying a 40.62% repetition rate of interpersonal violence. Of the authors, 21,807 are distinct, with criminal recidivism being 42.23%; of the victims 52,521 are distinct being the revictimization, 29.80%. On the probability of individual recurrence, it was found that in both Belo Horizonte and Sete Lagoas, both for author and for victim, it tends to grow from the first to the second recurrence, and so on tending to 100%. In the qualitative aspect it was verified that the variables schooling, age, victim-author relationship, nature complement, presumed cause and nature of occurrence influence in criminal recidivism and re-victimization, together with the degree of recidivism/revictimization, allow the selection of specific audiences for selected and indicated interventions, making it possible to reduce the cost of public policies aimed at reducing interpersonal violence and its recurrence.