O fenômeno Dilma nas eleições presidenciais de 2010 no Amazonas

Abstract

In 2010, the candidate Dilma Rousseff (PT) won in all 62 counties in the state of Amazonas. For several reasons, especially natural causes, there was no presence of the candidate's campaign in the region. The social programs implemented in the country during the presidency of Lula da Silva (PT) were important to the state and it was used as an important campaign strategy. Therefore, we assume there was a positive impact from the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) and the number of votes received by the incumbent. Given the questions concerning to the construction of a public political image of Dilma as the person who would give continuity to the actions of the former president, Lula, we intend to take this opportunity to analyze the relationship between voting for Dilma and the Bolsa Família Program in the 2010 presidential election, in the state of Amazonas . In order to do this we collected the data referring to the vote in 2010, and the method used was the construction of scatter plots, with a sample of 27 municipalities, following the division of three locations per gutter river and correlating variables (Dilma Rousseff Votes x number of votes received) in order to confirm or refute the hypothesis that the BFP influenced the outcome of the election.