Impacto da mortalidade por malária e aids na esperança da vida da população de Moçambique em 2007: uma aplicação das técnicas de múltiplo decremento e de anos de vida perdidos

Abstract

The aim of the present study was to assess the life expectancy at selected ages of the Mozambican population, based on the mortality information obtained from the Population Census and from the 2007 Survey on causes of mortality by age and sex, carried on by the National Institute of Statistics of Mozambique.The study, based on the life table method of cause-eliminated (multiple decrement), by sex and region of Mozambique, allows showing what would be the impact observed due to reduction (or elimination) of mortality from Malaria and AIDS, which were the defined causes for the present analysis. The method of years of life lost (AVP) was also applied.The largest gains in life expectancy at birth were observed with the elimination of deaths from AIDS. For men, the elimination of these deaths would increase life expectancy at birth by 9.1 years. For Malaria, the figure found was 8.5 years. For women, the highest gain in life expectancy at birth was 9.9 years in the case of the exclusion of AIDS mortality and nine years with the exclusion of deaths from Malaria.The results indicate that if it were possible to eliminate deaths from Malaria and AIDS, life expectancy at birth in Mozambique, for men, would fall from 45.6 to 54.1 and 54.7 years, respectively. For women, these figures would rise from 51.8 to 60.7 and 61.7 years. For the years of life lost due to mortality from Malaria and AIDS, men lose a higher number of years: respectively, 10.4 and 10.3 years. Women lose, respectively, 8.9 and 9.5 years