Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks

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dc.creatorMarco Follador
dc.creatorBritaldo Silveira Soares Filho
dc.creatorGeorge Philippidis
dc.creatorJuliana Leroy Davis
dc.creatorAmanda Ribeiro de Oliveira
dc.creatorRaoni Rajão
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-20T21:24:17Z
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-08T23:44:41Z
dc.date.available2023-04-20T21:24:17Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.sponsorshipCNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
dc.format.mimetypepdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93349-8
dc.identifier.issn2045-2322
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1843/52349
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.relation.ispartofScientific Reports
dc.rightsAcesso Aberto
dc.subjectCana-de-açúcar
dc.subjectAmazônia
dc.subjectBrasil
dc.subjectContratos - Países do Mercosul
dc.subjectArbitragem comercial internacional - Países da União Européia
dc.subjectSoja
dc.subjectCarne
dc.subject.otherSugarcane
dc.subject.otherAmazon
dc.subject.otherEU-Mercosur trade agreement
dc.subject.otherBrazilian government
dc.subject.otherSoy
dc.subject.otherBeef
dc.titleBrazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
dc.typeArtigo de periódico
local.citation.epage10
local.citation.issue1
local.citation.spage13768
local.citation.volume11
local.description.resumoThe Brazilian government’s decision to open the Amazon biome to sugarcane expansion reignited EU concerns regarding the sustainability of Brazil’s sugar sector, hindering the ratification of the EU-Mercosur trade agreement. Meanwhile, in the EU, certain conventional biofuels face stricter controls, whilst uncertainty surrounding the commercialisation of more sustainable advanced-biofuels renders bioethanol as a short- to medium-term fix. This paper examines Brazil’s land-use changes and associated greenhouse gas emissions arising from an EU driven ethanol import policy and projections for other 13 biocommodities. Results suggest that Brazil’s sugarcane could satisfy growing ethanol demand and comply with EU environmental criteria, since almost all sugarcane expansion is expected to occur on long-established pasturelands in the South and Midwest. However, expansion of sugarcane is also driven by competition for viable lands with other relevant commodities, mainly soy and beef. As a result, deforestation trends in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes linked to soy and beef production could jeopardize Brazil’s contribution to the Paris agreement with an additional 1 ± 0.3 billion CO2eq tonnes above its First NDC target by 2030. Trade talks with a narrow focus on a single commodity could thus risk unsustainable outcomes, calling for systemic sustainability benchmarks, should the deal be ratified.
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-2299
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9986-4794
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-2500
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837
local.publisher.countryBrasil
local.publisher.departmentENG - DEPARTAMENTO DE ENGENHARIA PRODUÇÃO
local.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIA
local.publisher.initialsUFMG
local.url.externahttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-93349-8#rightslink

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