Enabling large-scale forest restoration in Minas Gerais state, Brazil

dc.creatorFelipe S. M. Nunes
dc.creatorBritaldo Silveira Soares Filho
dc.creatorRaoni Rajão
dc.creatorFrank Merry
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-17T22:28:05Z
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-08T22:56:29Z
dc.date.available2023-04-17T22:28:05Z
dc.date.issued2017-04-12
dc.description.sponsorshipCNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
dc.description.sponsorshipFAPEMIG - Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais
dc.format.mimetypepdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6658
dc.identifier.issn1748-9326
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1843/52108
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.relation.ispartofEnviromental Research Letters
dc.rightsAcesso Aberto
dc.subjectEcologia
dc.subjectFlorestas - Legislação
dc.subjectFlorestas - Reprodução
dc.subject.otherCódigo florestal
dc.subject.otherPassivo ambiental
dc.subject.otherRegeneração florestal
dc.subject.otherAssisted natural regeneration
dc.subject.otherSpatial optimization model
dc.subject.otherDinamica EGO
dc.titleEnabling large-scale forest restoration in Minas Gerais state, Brazil
dc.typeArtigo de periódico
local.citation.epage10
local.citation.issue4
local.citation.spage0
local.citation.volume12
local.description.resumoLarge-scale forest restoration is a cornerstone of Brazil's new Forest Code and a key element in its National Determined Contribution (NDC) to emissions reduction. But the path to this target remains unclear due to a lack of information on its economics and implementation challenges. Here, we begin to fill this gap by developing a spatially-explicit model for Minas Gerais state that estimates the costs and benefits of native vegetation regeneration under different restoration approaches. Our results show that 36% (0.7 million ha) of the Forest Code debt in Minas Gerais can be restored using only passive restoration, at a cost of US$ 175 ± 47 million. Adding low-cost assisted natural regeneration would increase that number to 75% (1.5 million ha) at a cost of US$ 776 ± 137 million over a 20 yr period. This would result in a potential sequestration of 284 MtCO2e. However, including the intensive planting methods needed to restore the remaining 25% of highly degraded areas—to fully solve the Forest Code debt and result in a potential sequestration of 345 MtCO2e—would more than double the costs to US$ 1.7 ± 0.3 billion. Our results emphasize the need to implement regional policies that take advantage of the natural regeneration potential as well as prioritize the restoration of areas key to ecosystem services.
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
local.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837
local.publisher.countryBrasil
local.publisher.departmentIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIA
local.publisher.initialsUFMG
local.url.externahttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6658

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