Desmatamento e a contribuição econômica da floresta na Amazônia

Abstract

This paper analyzes, from an economic point of view, the contribution of deforestation for the Amazon economy from 2006 to 2011, as well as the effects of a policy to control deforestation from 2012 to 2020. For this, we used an interregional computable general equilibrium model, built to capture the specificities and heterogeneity of 103 micro-regions of the Amazon. Simulations of the economic contribution of deforestation to the growth of the Amazon would allow assessing the relative cost of control policies, estimating the implicit value of deforestation in economic dynamics. The simulation results indicate a positive contribution of deforestation, however small, for the Amazon economic growth from 2006 to 2011. This result is reinforced by the economic impacts of a hypothetical policy to control deforestation, suggesting a marginal loss of economic growth in the regions.