A relação entre os investimentos diretos estrangeiros greenfield e brownfield e o crescimento econômico: uma análise a partir do modelo VAR em painel

Abstract

The aim of this work is to analyze the simultaneous relationship between the growth of greenfield and brownfield foreign direct investments (FDI) and the GDP per capita growth rate for a sample of 119 countries over the 2003 – 2018 period. By employing a Panel VAR model, we calculate the impulse response functions in order to compare the effect of an exogenous shock in both types of investment on the dynamics of GDP per capita over time. In addition, we also conducted Granger causality tests and forecast error variance decomposition analyses. Our results suggest that faster economic growth successfully attracts greenfield FDI at the expense of the brownfield type across all levels of economic development. On the other hand, the return of both greenfield and brownfield FDI in terms of economic growth appears to be negligible for all levels of development.