Avaliação do alcance das metas do plano de enfrentamento das doenças crónicas não transmissíveis no Brasil, 2011-2022

Abstract

Objective: to evaluate the achievement of targets for mortality rates and prevalence of exposure to risk and protection factors defined in the Strategic Action Plan for Coping with Noncommunicable Diseases in Brazil, 2011-2022. Methods: evaluative study, analyzing trends in mortality and risk factors for NCD according to data from the Global Burden of Disease and the Vigitel survey. Linear regression and it was considered the significance level of 5% were used. Results: the premature mortality rate for all NCDs in the period of 2011 to 2014 was higher than the reduction target of 2% per year. In 2015, the decline was lower and as of 2016 there was an increase in mortality. Regarding the risk factors, favorable trends in the period from 2010 to 2014 were reversed in 2015 to 2018. It was verified from the data trends that the goals of reducing obesity, alcohol consumption, hypertension and diabetes as well as increased of the Papanicolau exam should not be met by 2022. Conclusion: some goals set in the plan to reduce NCD and risk factors may not be met. Thus, new government efforts and the resumption of this priority become essential, given the burden of disease in the country.