Mobilidade populacional na Região Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte nas décadas de 1990 e 2000

Abstract

This thesis analyzes the population mobility in the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte – MRBH – between 1990 and 2010, and their implications for the demographic dynamics of this region and its municipalities. Using information from the 1991, 2000 and 2010 demographic censuses, it aims to understand the migratory movements – including internal to the region – and commuting through origin and destination matrices, the estimates of migratory balances, the net migration rates, the natural growth and the average annual population growth rates. In addition, it investigates the consequences of spatial mobility on the population compositions by sex and age of the MRBH and its municipalities. It also provides a brief explanation of what the data currently available from the 2022 Demographic Census suggest regarding the demographic dynamics of the region between 2010 and 2022. The results obtained indicate: the reduction in migratory intensity in the RMBH between the 1990s and 2000s, mainly due to the migratory dynamics of its core, which has presented a negative Net Migration Rate since the 1970s, continuously; the greater migratory intensity of the most populous municipalities, as demonstrated by their volumes of migration flows; while economic dynamism is a factor of attraction, the cost of living and the dynamics of the real estate market are some fundamental issues for the capacity of the municipalities to retain inhabitants; the greater importance of commuting, which predominantly involve the most populous municipalities; and the aging of the metropolitan population.