Fatores Sociais e Climáticos e a ocorrência de epidemias de dengue

Abstract

Dengue ranks, today, as the most important mosquito-borne viral disease in the world(WHO, 2012). There are plenty of studies that show that dengue virus transmission is closely related to climate conditions(HALES et al., 2002; HU et al., 2012; LOWE et al., 2014). In spite of the importance of climate factors, it is a recommendation of the World Health Organization that surveillance strategies utilize information related to social and economic conditions to better understand the spatial and temporal distribution of dengue cases(WHO, 2012). Nevertheless, existing models for dengue fever do not account for socioecological factors(HU et al., 2012). Therefore, the present work analysed the influence of socioecological and climate factors in dengue fever transmittion rates in Brazil during the years from 2011 to 2013. All the data used in the work was obtained from brazilian government oficial sources. During the work, a methodology was developed to mine association rules related to the high incidence of dengue fever. The results obtained showed that social factos play a significant role in dengue fevers incidence rate.